Firstly, under the “stability-instability paradox,” the technological advantages brought by Starlink might become a catalyst for conventional war. Given the different levels of security threats between nations, the greater the stability at the strategic level (terror balance), the lower the stability at lower levels of violence (i.e., non-strategic or conventional levels).56 According to this paradox, Starlink can be applied to enhance the United States’ conventional warfare advantages, increasing the likelihood of low-intensity conflicts when a strategic crisis has not yet been triggered. Constellation projects like Starlink inherently have monopolistic properties, further widening the military power gap between strong and weak nations. Traditional space-based information support methods were limited to strategic and operational levels. Due to its advantage of not being restricted by geographical factors, Starlink allows the U.S. military to extend space-based communication terminals to tactical levels such as squads and platoons, forming a comprehensive battlefield information advantage. Considering that only a few countries can build mega constellation projects like Starlink, other nations will have to operate at a significant information disadvantage.57 The information advantage provided by Starlink handsets during the 2022 Ukraine crisis is a typical example. In this polarized scenario of “the strong getting stronger and the weak getting weaker,” the risk of local wars and geopolitical crises will be further amplified.
Starring: Tracy Morgan, Daniel Radcliffe, Erika Alexander, Bobby Moynihan, Precious Way, and Jalyn Hall
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